2024 Jewish Vote Analysis - WPAI Intelligence Report

WPAI Intelligence provided the RJC with a comprehensive analysis of the Jewish vote in the 2024 election. Drawing from the most reliable exit polling, city and county data, and precinct data, they showed the strong movement of Jewish voters to the Republican Party.

WPAI stated: 

This cycle saw a further gap develop between disengaged and secular people of Jewish ancestry, and those actively engaged with the Jewish religion, with the non-practicing voting overwhelmingly for Harris and the most religious voting almost entirely for Trump. But even many ethnically proud but secular Jews are beginning to look right as well.

Looking at Jewish neighborhoods and towns, the trends are stark and unmistakable. And because Judaism is in some ways a communal religion, and observant Judaism requires localized infrastructure, Jews who live in Jewish areas tend to be more religious and engaged. And in these neighborhoods, we see large shifts towards Trump.

WPAI analysts concluded:

Overall, the results are clear. From the highest quality polling to the most granular of neighborhood analysis, it is apparent that Trump gained in overall Jewish support, even against a headwind of a realignment that traded heavily-Jewish socioeconomic and educational demographics for far less Jewish ones. His overall support among Jews was likely the highest in 36 years.

Furthermore, his increases in support was broad and diverse, both geographically and ethnically, but came especially among those who live the most Jewish lives and reside in the most Jewish communities.

The trend is apparent from Trump's near-unanimous support among Hasidic and Yeshivish Jews; to his rapid consolidation of the Modern Orthodox vote; to incremental gains even in more liberal Jewish areas such as Oak Park and Upper Manhattan. And so too is it diverse ethnically and geographically, occurring coast to coast and overrepresenting Persian and ex-Soviet Jewish communities.

Though Jews still often live in blue areas, their neighborhoods and communities are increasingly a major share of the red islands in blue seas.

In this election, we have seen how Jewish values vote, and increasingly, they vote red.

Download the full PDF version here.